The digital commerce market in India is expected to clock a higher growth this year on the back of better internet penetration, increase in trust level and pricing advantage. The recent analysis and reports published by various industry experts are suggesting that the boom in Indian E-Commerce industry will remain for the next few years before reaching the saturation point.
Indian E-Commerce Landscape
As per industry reports, the e-commerce industry in the India was worth $15bn in the year 2013, which is estimated to reach $50bn-$70bn by year 2020. CRISIL Research report Feb 2014, India’s online retail industry has grown at a swift pace in the last 5 years from around Rs 15 billion revenues in 2007-08 to Rs 139 billion in 2012-13, translating into a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 56 per cent. The 9-fold growth came on the back of increasing internet penetration and changing lifestyles, and was primarily driven by books, electronics and apparel. CRISIL Research expects the buoyant trend to sustain in the medium term, and estimates the market will grow at a healthy 50-55 per cent CAGR to Rs 504 billion by 2015-16. The entry of new players in niche segments such as grocery, jewellery and furniture, along with large investments by existing players in the apparel and electronics verticals, will be the drivers.
Presently, there are over 2.5 crore(2% of the overall population of the country) online buyers and more than 24 crore internet users in the country but the large portion of Indian population is still to be covered. The number of internet users is estimated to reach 50 Crore mark by the year 2018. The rise is number of internet users may be attributed to the usage of mobile phone, especially the smart phones in the country. Interestingly, the percentage of internet users is around 16-18% of the population of India, but the big gap between the number of online buyers and internet users shows that the general internet user is still scared of the online payments. The reasons might be many, starting from product quality concern, delivery time, expectations not met with the final product, shipping time, logistics challenges, online payment risks, frauds and so on.
Challenges to the sellers
The ecommerce retailers need to focus on the threat areas for the Indian buyers. Still the large population is not literate enough to complete the online transaction. The language barrier and the cultural issues are also keeping the Indians away from benefitting from the Cyber World. The large middle class in India still trusts the neighbourhood shops, where they can have variety and go for bargaining. Various studies show that successful bargains are giving more satisfaction to the consumer than the discount offered by the sellers. The personal touch of selling offered in the brick & mortar system is missing in the online buying.
Central Government and the various state governments are coming up with new projects to enhance the education level and quality of school/college going students. The new generation is bound to be more tech-savvy and risk taking. The Indian youth in schools/colleges is already very active on the social media platforms like Facebook and Twitter. The threats perceived by the current Indian internet users may not have big impact on the coming generation. The e-tailers have the opportunity to tap this big market early on, by launching their youth oriented products. With the new evolving models for e-commerce, the market will have many more options to attract the customers. Deals and discount coupons have been a big “hit” in the Indian ecommerce space. Companies like Snapdeal, Shopclues, Coupondunia, 100 best buy etc. have attracted more and more customers to their offerings. The further integration of Shipping, Logistics, Customer Support along with the core e-commerce will open new opportunities to the sellers in the next phase.
Prof. Saurabh Mittal
Asia-Pacific Institute of Management